Q1 2026 Forecast Jan - Mar
$892K
+14.2% vs Q4 2025
87% confidence
Annual 2026 Projection Full Year
$3.8M
+22.5% YoY growth
72% confidence
Expected Recoupments Next 6 mo
5
Titles reaching full recoup
94% confidence
Producer Payouts Q1 2026
$412K
+18.7% vs Q4 2025
81% confidence

Revenue Forecast Model

Time Horizon
Model Type
Seasonality

AI Forecast Insights

Growth Driver Identified
AVOD platforms (Tubi, Pluto) showing 34% faster growth than SVOD. Consider prioritizing AVOD window placements for new acquisitions in Q1.
Seasonal Pattern Detected
Historical data shows 18% revenue dip in Feb-Mar. Model adjusts Q1 forecast accordingly. Consider promotional campaigns to offset.
Recoupment Acceleration
3 titles on track to recoup 2 months ahead of original projections. "Desert Storm Rising" and "Last Connection" leading performers.

Q1 2026 Cash Flow Projection

Base Case Scenario
Category Jan Feb Mar Q1 Total
Inflows
Amazon Revenue $142K $128K $135K $405K
Filmhub Revenue $98K $89K $94K $281K
Tubi/AVOD $72K $68K $78K $218K
Outflows
Producer Payouts -$124K -$118K -$128K -$370K
Marketing Expenses -$18K -$15K -$22K -$55K
Operations -$12K -$12K -$12K -$36K
Net Cash Flow $158K $140K $145K $443K

Title Performance Predictions

Next 6 months
Midnight Drive
PCF-2024-047
↑ Growing
$186K
Projected Rev
+23%
Growth Rate
94%
Confidence
Desert Storm Rising
PCF-2024-031
→ Stable
$142K
Projected Rev
+4%
Growth Rate
88%
Confidence
The Last Connection
PCF-2023-089
↓ Declining
$67K
Projected Rev
-12%
Growth Rate
91%
Confidence

Upcoming Recoupment Milestones

Dec 15, 2025
Midnight Drive - Full Recoup
+$45,000 marketing recovered
Jan 28, 2026
Desert Storm Rising - 75% Recoup
$18,200 remaining
Mar 15, 2026 (est)
The Last Connection - Full Recoup
$8,400 remaining